The International Energy Agency (IEA) reported that the world’s top users of oil, bought almost 80% of the oil, the Moscow exported in May. The Russian crude oil has found new purchasers in the market, especially in Asia.

Only two million barrel per day was bought by India alone while china reached to statistics of 500,000 barrels per day to 22 million per day, according to the latest oil Market Report. After the US and China, India is the third-largest user of crude oil, and it imports 85% of what it requires.

More than a year into Moscow’s conflict in Ukraine, India is reshaping global petroleum flows by purchasing cheap oil from Russia, refining it, and selling it. India is also becoming a major supplier to Europe.

According to reliable sources, which cited energy tracker Vortex, more than one-third of the oil India imports now comes from Russia. According to the CREA research, this is a technique to get around regulations meant to restrict Vladimir Putin’s use of Russian government funds to pay for the war.

As the Russia has been severely facing ban and G7 shipping restrictions the Russian seaborne crude now headed to Asia. The main incentive to buy cheap Russia crude oil remains underpinned by the deep discounts.

Economically, India is set to overtake China in oil demand growth till 2027. India has fastest growing economy surpassing China to become the world’s most populous country in 2023. Thus, India and China lapped up the most discounted Russian crude oil. The global oil flow changed its route, making way for India and China who are top most nations to use crude oil.

The two nations guzzled almost 80% of the Russian crude exports in May. After the Ukraine conflict as European buyers banned and veto on Russian products, opened a getaway for Indians exporters for the refined products in Europe. The International Energy Agency (IEA) on Friday reported that India and China are two major consumers of Russian crude oil.

India was buying nothing and then started to buy 2.2 million barrels per day. India’s imports of crude oil increased to 14 percent more as compared to April, 2 months ago. The two nations have become Russian’s biggest supporters by buying almost more than half of the crude oil. Russia made up 45% and 20% of crude imports in India and China respectively.

The trends of industrialization, urbanisation, tourism and a wealthier middle class nation is going to have more demand of the oil between the years 2022 to 2028. The Indian GDP will be 2.38 percent in 2023 but will increase to 6.3 percent in 2024 and will escalate to a stronger 7% in 2025-2028. The discounted supplies hit an all-time high shot, the buyers crammed on the discounted supplies.

Russian shipments in India sky-rocketed to 8.6 million tonnes (62.8 million barrels) as compared to China who received six million tonnes, a steady difference from April, 2023. The Russian oil company shared that China’s buyers have increased these days. In contrast to Western attempts to isolate Moscow, New Delhi has chosen to deepen economic links with its long-time friend, which has the extra benefit of containing inflation while saving money.

Previously, the Middle East served as its primary source of supply. Now, Russia is in first place. India and China have emerged as its biggest clients in remote Moscow. According to the International Energy Agency, India previously purchased 1.62 million barrels per day (bpd) from Russia in March, accounting for 40% of its total oil imports, up from 70,000 bpd and 1% of inflows prior to the conflict. In the 10 months following the start of the disputes, India saved $3.6 billion by purchasing cheap crude oil from Russia.

India is the fourth-largest refiner in the world, with 23 oil refineries processing 249 million tonnes of crude annually. The largest refinery in the world is located in Gujarat and is managed by Mukesh Ambani, the richest man in Asia, through his Reliance Industries.

He has increased his imports of Russian oil. According to statistics from cargo tracking company Vortexa, Reliance imports 45 percent of the Russian oil that enters India together with Nayara, India’s second-largest refiner, of which Russia’s Rosneft controls 49 percent. India is the primary market for the refined product.

But because of a surplus, India has become a significant exporter of petrol and diesel to Europe and other countries, some of which is refined from Russian crude. According to the Indian Express newspaper, which cited government statistics, Indian refiners were enjoying “robust margins” as their shipments of petroleum products to the European Union increased 20.4 percent year over year between April and January to 11.6 million tonnes.

Despite Moscow being subject to sanctions, this does not violate EU regulations because it is not assumed that the refined products originated in Russia.

Additionally, it aids the bloc in avoiding supply issues that would raise prices for customers already suffering from raging inflation. According to Vortexa Chief Economist David Wech, the globe will struggle to survive without Russian oil and a total break with Moscow would result in a “deep recession”.

In February, Bloomberg reported that as Europe tightens its sanctions, India’s position would “only become more central to a global oil map that has been redrawn by Vladimir Putin’s year-long war in Ukraine.”

Despite India’s purchases, Russia still makes less money from oil exports than it did before the invasion, in part because it is more expensive and difficult to get insurance to move its petroleum halfway around the world.

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